Forex Futures Trading

Hey Forex / Market Watcher-types: Why I can not be shorting the yen?

Then yen has been riding the collapse of carry trade since some time. And for some reason, is seen as a "safe" currency in times like this. But if you look at the fundamentals, Japan is in big trouble. So this crazy rise in the yen is starting to look like the oil in the first half of 2008: a circle jerk without the basics speculative behind it. Am I wrong? Is it too early to short? What do you think?

bad move. Japan has a rate of 0.10%. If short-JPY against other currency and that country or region low interest rates to stimulate its economy into a recession, JPY will rise. The same will happen if Japan increases rate. As for the majors: USD 0.25% JPY EUR 0.10% 2.00% CHF 0.50% GBP 1.50% You'll definitely be at risk with the cross rates. Not surprise me if the UK made a rate cut. The Swiss franc is not good, even with a rate of 0.50% because it is quite similar to the euro and the European Union space rate cuts. Your only option is to shorten the JPY against the dollar. With the United States wanting to improve employment and housing market, I think the Fed will U.S. rate 0.25 for most or all of 2009, but still have the hope that Japan will not raise interest rates. I'm more knowledgeable about the stock market, but have changed the FX spot market before. If trade was now, would be shorting the pound against the dollar. United Kingdom is in recession and have more room for interest rate cuts. U.S. and Japan does not.

6. Day Trading Lesson 6: Multi Time Frame Analysis

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